What does a high signal score mean?

A score of 80–100 means the policy has direct, fast transmission into corporate economics — revenue, costs, or regulation. Markets typically react quickly because the affected companies are obvious.

Does a high signal score mean a stock will go up?

No. Signal scores measure impact potential, not direction. A high score means strong market reaction is likely — but that reaction could be bullish or bearish depending on the companies involved.

What is a policy signal score?

A policy signal score (0–100) measures how likely a government action is to create a meaningful market reaction. Higher scores indicate clearer, faster transmission into corporate revenue, costs, or regulation.

Guide

What Does a Signal Score Actually Mean?

AISB assigns every policy event a score from 0–100. That number doesn't predict whether a stock goes up or down — it measures how likely the policy is to create a meaningful market reaction. Here's exactly how to read it.

Low Impact Watch Closely High Impact

0 50 80 100

80+

High Impact — React Quickly

Direct transmission into company economics. Revenue, costs, or competitive position change immediately when these policies land. The affected companies are usually obvious, so markets tend to price them in fast.

Export bans on specific technologies Tariffs on industrial inputs Federal procurement mandates Sector-specific sanctions

Typical tickers: NVDA, X, LMT, CAT, RTX

50–79

Watch Closely — Developing Signal

Policies that affect industries broadly, but where the winners and losers take time to become clear. Markets often price these in gradually as implementation details emerge over days or weeks.

Regulatory reviews Trade negotiations Sanctions discussions Early-stage procurement shifts

Watch: Sector ETFs often move before individual names at this tier

0–49

Low Impact — Longer Horizon

Political or administrative actions with limited near-term impact on corporate revenue. These can matter eventually, but rarely move markets in the days following the announcement.

Reporting requirements Task forces and advisory groups Long-term strategy directives Interagency coordination orders

Note: Low scores today can become high scores if implementation details escalate

Score ≠ Direction

This is the most important thing to understand about signal scores. A high score tells you how much a policy is likely to move markets — not which way.

Same high score — opposite market reactions

↑ Bullish example

Steel tariffs — Score: 85
Domestic producers benefit directly. Higher prices, reduced foreign competition. X, NUE, STLD typically rally.

↓ Bearish example

Semiconductor export controls — Score: 88
Restricts addressable market for chip makers selling to restricted regions. NVDA, KLAC, LRCX typically sell off.

The score surfaces the opportunity for research. Direction still requires reading the policy and understanding which companies are on which side of it.

Quick reference

80–100

Direct corporate impact. Obvious winners and losers.

Markets react within hours to days

50–79

Sector-wide effects. Implementation details still emerging.

Markets price in over days to weeks

0–49

Administrative. Limited near-term revenue impact.

Watch for escalation; rarely immediate

Common questions

How are scores calculated?

Scores are generated by an AI model that evaluates each policy action against factors including: directness of corporate impact, breadth of affected industries, timeline to economic effect, and historical market reactions to similar policy types. The model is periodically reviewed against real market behavior to keep the scoring calibrated.

Can a low-score policy become high-impact later?

Yes. A task force or regulatory review that scores 30 can escalate into enforcement action that scores 90. AISB rescores policy events as new developments are published — watch for score changes on existing EO pages as signals that a situation is developing.

Do scores apply to earnings and Reddit signals too?

Signal scores on AISB are currently specific to policy events (executive orders, regulatory actions). Earnings and Reddit data use separate indicators — mention counts, sentiment tags, and ranking — rather than the 0–100 impact score.

Is this financial advice?

No. Signal scores measure policy impact potential, not investment recommendations. A score of 90 does not mean you should buy or sell anything. Use scores as a starting point for your own research.

Signal scores appear on every executive order page and in the daily dashboard.

For how the broader system works, see how AISB works →